This book assesses how competitive and contentious the EU-Russia relationship in Ukraine was between 2010-2013 and whether this played any meaningful role in the destabilisation of Ukraine since late 2013. Firstly, this book explores the competitiveness of the triangular relationship before the crisis by looking at the sectors of trade, energy and security. All three sectors exhibited competitiveness with security clearly the most contentious area of the relationship. Secondly, the eruption of the Ukraine crisis is examined in greater detail with a particular focus on the three chosen sectors. While the crisis demonstrated a noticeable increase in EU-Russian competition in Ukraine, it did not mean the relationship was preordained to remain this way. Lastly, the book looks at the potential scenarios for the near future of the EU-Russia-Ukraine triangle, with three plausible medium-term scenarios – a best case, a worst case and a likely case – offered.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1: A theoretical framework for the analysis of EU-Russian interaction in Ukraine: A neoclassical realist-inspired approach
Chapter 2: The geopolitical setting in Europe before the Ukraine crisis: Crude regional bipolarity in an emerging multipolar international system
Chapter 3: Assessing the external trade policies of the EU and Russia towards Ukraine: Geoeconomic competition in Ukraine?
Chapter 4: A precarious transit state? Assessing the external energy policies of the EU and Russia towards Ukraine
Chapter 5: Conflicting security preferences? Assessing the regime promotion strategies of the EU and Russia in Ukraine
Chapter 6: The Ukraine Crisis